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Red25
201316.0
136011.7
27089.2
Blue29
124127.6
18810.3
87317.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395202060801002529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#18
16.00.8
17.516.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 11.6
27.61.6
29.027.3
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.6
Second
1360
#23
11.71.2
10.69.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
red by 1.4
188
#15
10.31.1
8.57.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Third
2708
#24
9.21.2
9.28.0
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End0.3
red by 1.3
8731
#17
7.91.6
8.46.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed