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Red47
87317.9
540622.6
771217.7
Blue71
124127.6
128516.4
713614.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50622040801004771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.0
22.722.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End2.2
blue by 5.0
27.61.5
27.328.8
Auto12.3
Teleop14.8
End0.6
Second
17.70.0
17.017.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
red by 1.4
16.41.5
14.115.5
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Third
8731
#17
7.90.0
6.86.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
blue by 7.0
7136
#20
14.91.5
13.314.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed