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Red54
888416.3
78117.4
790211.7
Blue41
293521.7
60705.9
136011.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453902060801005441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#14
17.41.2
15.116.4
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 4.3
21.70.0
21.221.2
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End-0.0
Second
16.31.2
14.115.4
Auto6.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
red by 4.5
1360
#23
11.70.0
9.49.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Third
7902
#22
11.70.9
11.011.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
red by 5.8
6070
#27
5.90.0
5.35.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed