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Red51
201316.0
503610.9
61108.7
Blue18
95893.3
56899.3
546028.0
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35530204060801005118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#18
16.00.8
16.617.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 12.0
28.02.5
26.223.7
Auto12.3
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
5036
#13
10.90.8
9.510.3
Auto4.8
Teleop5.6
End0.5
red by 1.6
5689
#25
9.33.4
13.19.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Third
6110
#10
8.71.1
7.58.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End0.5
red by 5.4
9589
#26
3.33.4
6.73.3
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsEarned