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Red49
68665.8
713614.9
790211.7
Blue36
136011.7
888416.3
96219.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36371020305060704936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7136
#20
14.90.5
14.715.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.7
End1.9
blue by 1.4
16.31.0
15.414.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
Second
7902
#22
11.70.4
11.912.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Level
1360
#23
11.71.0
9.48.4
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
Third
6866
#16
5.80.5
5.96.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End0.4
blue by 3.3
9621
#21
9.10.8
8.77.9
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned