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Red37
260917.1
78117.4
61108.7
Blue45
771217.7
27089.2
18810.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4535010203040506070803745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#14
17.40.2
16.416.2
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
blue by 0.3
17.70.8
17.017.8
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Second
17.10.2
14.514.2
Auto6.6
Teleop9.7
End0.8
red by 6.8
188
#15
10.30.8
7.68.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End0.4
Third
6110
#10
8.70.2
8.68.4
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End0.5
blue by 0.5
2708
#24
9.21.1
8.09.1
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed