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Red15
201316.0
95893.3
60705.9
Blue36
540622.6
56899.3
128516.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2458040801001536

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#18
16.00.7
17.516.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.0
End1.9
blue by 6.6
22.61.0
22.821.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End2.2
Second
6070
#27
5.90.9
5.34.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
blue by 10.4
16.41.0
15.514.6
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Third
9589
#26
3.30.9
3.32.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End0.4
blue by 6.1
5689
#25
9.31.0
9.88.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed