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Red38
18810.3
61108.7
888416.3
Blue31
263414.0
771217.7
68665.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33450204060801003831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.5
14.314.8
Auto6.4
Teleop7.6
End2.2
blue by 1.5
17.70.6
17.817.3
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Second
188
#15
10.30.5
8.58.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 3.6
2634
#12
14.00.7
15.214.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
6110
#10
8.70.5
8.48.9
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End0.5
red by 2.9
6866
#16
5.80.6
6.55.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed