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Red33
96219.1
27089.2
56899.3
Blue34
95893.3
60705.9
78117.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29250204060803334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5689
#25
9.30.5
8.89.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 8.1
781
#14
17.40.8
16.217.0
Auto8.9
Teleop6.5
End2.0
Second
2708
#24
9.20.6
9.19.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.6
End0.3
red by 3.3
6070
#27
5.90.8
4.45.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.1
End0.8
Third
9621
#21
9.10.5
7.98.4
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.2
red by 5.8
9589
#26
3.30.8
2.43.3
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed