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Red25
128516.4
136011.7
95893.3
Blue51
61108.7
96219.1
55969.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422601020506070802551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.41.2
11.910.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.2
End2.2
red by 7.3
9621
#21
9.10.2
4.85.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End2.2
Second
1360
#23
11.71.2
13.212.0
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End1.3
red by 2.7
5596
#11
9.10.4
9.29.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Third
9589
#26
3.31.2
10.79.5
Auto1.5
Teleop1.3
End0.4
blue by 5.4
6110
#10
8.70.4
11.812.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned