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Red52
18810.3
35439.7
540622.6
Blue47
790211.7
56899.3
771217.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47300204060805247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.7
19.320.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.2
End2.2
red by 4.8
17.71.2
9.010.2
Auto7.2
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Second
188
#15
10.30.4
8.79.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End0.4
blue by 1.4
7902
#22
11.71.2
12.513.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.7
Third
3543
#19
9.70.7
12.813.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.4
End0.2
red by 0.4
5689
#25
9.32.0
7.79.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed