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Red9
61357.9
131010.0
69775.8
Blue42
85746.8
285215.7
760310.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242801020405060942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#16
10.01.7
8.97.3
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End2.4
blue by 5.8
15.71.7
11.613.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Second
6135
#25
7.91.7
6.54.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 2.3
7603
#12
10.21.7
5.37.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Third
6977
#18
5.81.7
6.54.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.4
End1.3
blue by 1.0
8574
#29
6.81.7
8.19.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed