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Red45
132519.4
92628.0
406917.8
Blue25
790213.1
503610.3
76597.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4526010203040506070804525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.7
19.320.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End1.3
red by 6.4
7902
#23
13.10.1
10.610.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Second
17.80.7
13.113.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
red by 7.6
5036
#13
10.30.1
9.29.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Third
9262
#11
8.00.7
6.26.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 0.6
7.40.1
6.26.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed