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Red8
85746.8
96215.0
503212.1
Blue46
95699.1
219814.8
571911.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31311015202535404550846

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#14
12.12.3
13.010.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End1.7
blue by 2.7
14.80.4
10.911.3
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Second
8574
#29
6.82.3
9.87.5
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End1.7
blue by 5.1
11.90.4
10.010.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Third
9621
#27
5.02.3
5.83.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 4.2
9569
#10
9.10.4
6.46.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed