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Red18
8548.0
1889.6
61413.9
Blue45
755821.2
503610.3
50315.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2336010304050601845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#9
9.61.0
12.311.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.1
blue by 11.6
21.20.4
15.616.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Second
854
#26
8.01.0
4.63.5
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.4
blue by 2.3
5036
#13
10.30.4
9.19.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Third
6141
#22
3.91.0
5.24.2
Auto0.7
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 1.1
5031
#21
5.00.4
6.77.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed