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Red27
58347.9
95627.4
132519.4
Blue38
76597.4
752014.1
92628.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412301030506070802738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.40.9
20.419.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End1.3
red by 5.3
14.11.7
10.512.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Second
5834
#28
7.90.9
5.64.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
blue by 0.1
9262
#11
8.01.7
6.07.7
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Third
9562
#17
7.40.9
8.87.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6
Level
7.41.7
6.17.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed