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Red45
755821.2
8548.0
285215.7
Blue25
503610.3
1889.6
58347.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382701020506070804525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.21.3
16.017.3
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
red by 10.9
5036
#13
10.30.1
9.59.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Second
15.71.3
13.614.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
red by 6.1
188
#9
9.60.1
11.311.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Third
854
#26
8.01.3
3.54.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.5
End1.4
red by 0.1
5834
#28
7.90.1
4.74.7
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed