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Red31
760310.2
61408.5
76597.4
Blue25
96597.2
95699.1
85746.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28210104050603125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7603
#12
10.20.4
8.37.9
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.6
red by 1.1
9569
#10
9.10.6
6.87.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Second
6140
#19
8.50.4
8.68.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.6
red by 1.3
9659
#15
7.20.6
5.35.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End0.5
Third
7.40.4
7.87.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.0
red by 0.6
8574
#29
6.80.6
7.58.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed