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Red31
406917.8
96597.2
503610.3
Blue28
285215.7
76597.4
1889.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333802060801001203128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.81.0
15.114.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
red by 2.1
15.71.7
14.913.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
Second
5036
#13
10.31.0
9.48.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
red by 0.7
188
#9
9.61.7
11.39.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Third
9659
#15
7.21.0
5.94.8
Auto2.4
Teleop4.2
End0.5
blue by 0.2
7.41.7
7.45.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned