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Red37
96215.0
755821.2
61408.5
Blue22
92635.9
50315.0
132519.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323701020506070803722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.8
17.318.1
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
red by 1.8
19.41.2
19.518.3
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End1.3
Second
6140
#19
8.50.8
8.29.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.6
red by 2.6
9263
#24
5.91.2
6.35.1
Auto1.0
Teleop4.5
End0.5
Third
9621
#27
5.00.8
4.25.0
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.4
Level
5031
#21
5.01.2
7.36.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed26%Ensemble oddsMissed