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Red22
131010.0
58347.9
95699.1
Blue29
61413.9
61357.9
92628.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261501020304050602229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#16
10.00.0
8.78.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.9
End2.4
red by 1.9
9262
#11
8.01.6
6.68.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Second
9569
#10
9.10.0
8.38.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End1.3
red by 1.2
6135
#25
7.91.6
4.25.7
Auto1.5
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Third
5834
#28
7.90.0
4.84.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 4.0
6141
#22
3.91.6
4.15.7
Auto0.7
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed