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Red38
95627.4
503610.3
285215.7
Blue24
503212.1
77128.4
760310.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32342025303540453824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.71.0
13.214.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
red by 3.6
5032
#14
12.11.2
10.49.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End1.7
Second
5036
#13
10.31.0
8.49.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Level
7603
#12
10.21.2
8.97.6
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Third
9562
#17
7.41.0
7.78.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6
blue by 1.0
7712
#20
8.41.2
11.09.7
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed