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Red27
95627.4
503212.1
406917.8
Blue39
752014.1
85746.8
755821.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422902060801001201402739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.81.0
14.213.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
blue by 3.4
21.21.2
13.414.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
Second
5032
#14
12.11.0
13.612.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End1.7
blue by 2.0
14.11.2
7.78.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Third
9562
#17
7.41.0
8.67.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6
red by 0.6
8574
#29
6.81.2
6.98.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed