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Red38
92628.0
790213.1
285215.7
Blue5
760310.2
61413.9
58347.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272751520253035385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.71.3
10.311.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
red by 5.5
7603
#12
10.22.4
7.75.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.8
End2.6
Second
7902
#23
13.11.3
9.310.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 5.2
5834
#28
7.92.4
9.87.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Third
9262
#11
8.01.3
4.96.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 4.1
6141
#22
3.92.4
7.24.8
Auto0.7
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed