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Red69
58347.9
755821.2
132519.4
Blue53
61357.9
503212.1
219814.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51350204060801006953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.5
19.820.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.1
End2.1
red by 6.4
14.80.2
14.514.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Second
19.40.5
18.118.6
Auto5.7
Teleop12.4
End1.3
red by 7.3
5032
#14
12.10.2
11.812.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End1.7
Third
5834
#28
7.90.5
6.67.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Level
6135
#25
7.90.2
7.67.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.9
End2.5