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Red32
285215.7
406917.8
96215.0
Blue29
1889.6
752014.1
95627.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433402060803229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.2
17.717.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.4
End2.6
red by 3.7
14.10.2
14.414.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Second
15.70.2
15.615.3
Auto6.6
Teleop8.5
End0.6
red by 6.1
188
#9
9.60.2
9.89.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Third
9621
#27
5.00.2
4.84.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.4
blue by 2.4
9562
#17
7.40.2
7.67.5
Auto2.4
Teleop3.5
End1.6