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Red40
219814.8
503212.1
61357.9
Blue44
571911.9
503610.3
61408.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393302060804044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.1
14.714.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 3.0
11.90.2
11.912.2
Auto4.9
Teleop6.2
End0.8
Second
5032
#14
12.10.1
12.012.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End1.7
red by 1.9
5036
#13
10.30.2
10.310.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Third
6135
#25
7.90.1
7.87.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.9
End2.5
blue by 0.6
6140
#19
8.50.2
8.68.8
Auto3.2
Teleop2.7
End2.6