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Red26
373923.4
99997.1
99927.1
Blue64
128518.9
588528.6
492027.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26910501001502664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
blue by 5.2
5885
#10
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.2
End2.6
Second
9992
#12
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
blue by 20.1
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End1.6
Third
9999
#18
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
blue by 11.8
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody odds49%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds11%Ensemble odds