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Red33
77218.5
99917.1
721123.9
Blue47
906215.6
494016.6
283418.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56562040801003347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End2.6
red by 5.4
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Second
772
#15
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End2.1
red by 1.9
4940
#16
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Third
9991
#17
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
blue by 8.5
9062
#14
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody odds53%Melody odds
Ensemble
9%Ensemble odds20%Ensemble odds