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Red55
128518.9
808125.4
124126.9
Blue34
99997.1
492027.1
490319.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825301001502005534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 0.2
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End1.6
Second
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3
red by 5.7
4903
#11
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Third
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 11.8
9999
#18
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody odds38%Melody odds
Ensemble
23%Ensemble odds7%Ensemble odds