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Red59
468817.3
588528.6
283418.5
Blue34
687512.4
77218.5
906215.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754801001505934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5885
#10
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.2
End2.6
red by 10.0
772
#15
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End2.1
Second
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.1
red by 2.9
9062
#14
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto6.2
Teleop8.4
End1.0
Third
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto2.9
Teleop12.8
End1.6
red by 4.9
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody odds32%Melody odds
Ensemble
19%Ensemble odds9%Ensemble odds