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Red50
373923.4
721123.9
124126.9
Blue35
99997.1
494016.6
128518.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89390501001502005035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.9
End0.9
red by 8.0
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End2.6
red by 7.3
4940
#16
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Third
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
red by 16.3
9999
#18
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody odds17%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds18%Ensemble odds