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Red51
808125.4
77218.5
99947.1
Blue32
494016.6
373923.4
588528.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions458001001505132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3
blue by 3.2
5885
#10
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto8.8
Teleop17.2
End2.6
Second
772
#15
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End2.1
blue by 4.8
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
Third
9994
#13
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
blue by 9.6
4940
#16
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody odds54%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds7%Ensemble odds