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Red39
721123.9
99997.1
490319.7
Blue57
687512.4
283418.5
99927.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5635020801001201401603957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto9.0
Teleop12.3
End2.6
red by 5.4
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.1
Second
4903
#11
19.70.0
19.719.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 7.2
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End0.2
Third
9999
#18
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Level
9992
#12
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody odds16%Melody odds
Ensemble
13%Ensemble odds37%Ensemble odds