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Red6
12465.8
68669.3
69772.8
Blue53
926213.8
705814.6
752022.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23400103050607080653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6866
#23
9.31.1
6.55.4
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 13.2
22.50.2
16.316.5
Auto10.7
Teleop10.0
End1.9
Second
1246
#19
5.81.9
10.78.8
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End-0.2
blue by 8.8
7058
#15
14.60.4
9.710.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End2.0
Third
6977
#28
2.81.1
5.74.5
Auto1.2
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 11.1
9262
#14
13.80.2
8.48.6
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned