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Red36
85413.4
66328.1
503215.4
Blue51
760310.3
591218.1
85748.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353615202530404550553651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#13
15.40.2
14.114.3
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 2.6
18.10.9
15.714.8
Auto9.5
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Second
854
#26
13.40.2
9.09.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 3.1
7603
#21
10.30.5
10.09.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
Third
6632
#24
8.10.4
9.59.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
red by 0.1
8574
#16
8.00.5
6.45.9
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned