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Red66
63979.6
713620.0
571922.2
Blue44
978518.9
69753.7
430812.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46280204060806644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.6
13.715.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End0.3
red by 3.2
18.91.9
11.69.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Second
20.01.6
17.719.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2
red by 7.2
4308
#12
12.81.9
10.68.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Third
6397
#18
9.62.7
8.411.1
Auto3.1
Teleop5.7
End0.9
red by 6.0
6975
#27
3.71.1
5.03.9
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned