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Red59
752022.5
85748.0
571922.2
Blue87
219818.8
978518.9
494625.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34480204060801005987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.51.4
14.115.6
Auto10.7
Teleop10.0
End1.9
blue by 2.8
25.43.9
18.122.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Second
22.21.4
11.913.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End0.3
red by 3.2
18.912.5
25.613.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Third
8574
#16
8.01.4
6.88.2
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End1.2
blue by 10.8
2198
#11
18.82.3
14.817.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned