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Red63
68669.3
492024.3
591218.1
Blue44
61414.6
503215.4
755826.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324302060801006344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#10
24.33.1
13.716.8
Auto12.4
Teleop10.7
End1.2
blue by 1.8
26.10.5
21.221.6
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End2.6
Second
18.13.1
10.913.9
Auto9.5
Teleop5.9
End2.6
red by 2.6
5032
#13
15.40.5
12.112.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Third
6866
#23
9.31.8
5.87.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
red by 4.7
6141
#22
4.60.5
3.94.4
Auto0.7
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed