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Red34
752022.5
61414.6
614012.8
Blue52
74759.8
220027.1
63979.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35421020305060703452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.1
17.717.8
Auto10.7
Teleop10.0
End1.9
blue by 4.6
27.10.5
18.519.0
Auto10.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
Second
6140
#25
12.80.1
11.511.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
red by 3.0
7475
#20
9.80.5
7.98.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Third
6141
#22
4.60.1
3.13.2
Auto0.7
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 5.0
6397
#18
9.60.5
11.111.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned