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Red48
957512.4
760310.3
755826.1
Blue43
316130.9
69772.8
85748.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49310204060801004843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.4
24.624.9
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End2.6
blue by 4.8
30.91.4
19.621.1
Auto13.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Second
9575
#17
12.40.6
8.28.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
red by 4.5
8574
#16
8.00.9
5.96.7
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End1.2
Third
7603
#21
10.30.4
9.59.8
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
red by 7.6
6977
#28
2.80.9
4.55.4
Auto1.2
Teleop0.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed