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Red46
219818.8
571922.2
69753.7
Blue39
85413.4
705814.6
68669.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45290204060801004639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.5
16.917.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End0.3
red by 7.6
7058
#15
14.61.2
12.914.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End2.0
Second
2198
#11
18.80.5
17.517.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
red by 5.4
854
#26
13.40.7
10.611.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Third
6975
#27
3.70.5
4.75.2
Auto2.5
Teleop0.1
End1.1
blue by 5.6
6866
#23
9.30.7
4.95.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed