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Red57
494625.4
220027.1
503215.4
Blue64
978518.9
492024.3
752022.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6452204060801005764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.6
19.017.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
red by 2.8
4920
#10
24.31.1
18.519.6
Auto12.4
Teleop10.7
End1.2
Second
25.41.6
22.621.0
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
red by 2.8
22.50.7
17.818.5
Auto10.7
Teleop10.0
End1.9
Third
5032
#13
15.41.0
15.214.2
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 3.5
18.91.1
12.513.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed