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Red77
503215.4
752022.5
74759.8
Blue68
85413.4
926213.8
316130.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4348102030607080907768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.4
18.518.8
Auto10.7
Teleop10.0
End1.9
blue by 8.3
30.92.2
22.724.9
Auto13.1
Teleop16.2
End1.6
Second
5032
#13
15.40.4
14.214.5
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 1.6
9262
#14
13.81.3
9.010.3
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Third
7475
#20
9.80.6
6.77.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.4
End0.5
blue by 3.6
854
#26
13.41.3
11.312.6
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed