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Red25
69772.8
760310.3
66328.1
Blue41
430812.8
12465.8
571922.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2337060802541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7603
#21
10.30.1
10.810.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
blue by 11.8
22.20.3
17.417.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End0.3
Second
6632
#24
8.10.2
6.86.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
blue by 4.8
4308
#12
12.80.5
8.28.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Third
6977
#28
2.80.1
4.44.3
Auto1.2
Teleop0.9
End0.7
blue by 3.0
1246
#19
5.80.5
5.86.4
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed