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Red40
926213.8
85413.4
220027.1
Blue48
430812.8
66328.1
219818.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4039203050604048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.6
18.419.0
Auto10.7
Teleop13.3
End3.1
red by 8.3
2198
#11
18.80.1
17.117.2
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Second
9262
#14
13.80.3
8.08.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
red by 1.0
4308
#12
12.80.2
10.110.3
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
Third
854
#26
13.40.3
8.48.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 5.3
6632
#24
8.10.2
9.19.3
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed