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Red31
978518.9
503215.4
63979.6
Blue13
68669.3
85748.0
61414.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4020060801003113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.90.3
13.012.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End2.7
red by 9.6
6866
#23
9.31.1
7.76.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Second
5032
#13
15.40.2
12.612.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End2.1
red by 7.5
8574
#16
8.01.1
8.27.1
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End1.2
Third
6397
#18
9.60.3
8.38.0
Auto3.1
Teleop5.7
End0.9
red by 5.0
6141
#22
4.61.1
4.43.2
Auto0.7
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned