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Red63
713620.0
752022.5
760310.3
Blue64
705814.6
755826.1
494625.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426220801006364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.7
15.616.3
Auto10.7
Teleop10.0
End1.9
blue by 3.5
26.10.1
21.621.5
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End2.6
Second
20.00.7
15.316.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 5.4
25.40.2
22.021.8
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End2.0
Third
7603
#21
10.30.7
9.410.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.4
End2.3
blue by 4.3
7058
#15
14.60.2
9.99.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsEarned