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Red71
68669.3
571922.2
957512.4
Blue36
219818.8
85413.4
12465.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141305060707136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.6
19.320.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End0.3
red by 3.4
2198
#11
18.80.2
18.318.1
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Second
9575
#17
12.42.0
10.312.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.5
End1.0
blue by 0.9
854
#26
13.40.2
12.712.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Third
6866
#23
9.31.6
6.98.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.7
End0.6
red by 3.5
1246
#19
5.80.3
6.46.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned4%Ensemble oddsMissed