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Red46
63979.6
430812.8
752022.5
Blue51
85748.0
503215.4
614012.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46330204060804651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.4
19.419.8
Auto10.7
Teleop10.0
End1.9
red by 7.1
5032
#13
15.41.0
14.115.0
Auto5.6
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Second
4308
#12
12.80.5
11.211.7
Auto5.5
Teleop5.1
End2.2
red by 0.1
6140
#25
12.81.0
10.411.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.0
End2.7
Third
6397
#18
9.60.5
9.39.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.7
End0.9
red by 1.7
8574
#16
8.01.0
7.08.0
Auto5.4
Teleop1.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed